These days, the Internet is spreading everywhere about Cao Moumou’s opening of a glass factory in the United States. These articles have been playing sad cards all the time, denying China’s manufacturing industry a cold winter, and the tax burden is too high. At the same time, the United States is considering a significant tax reduction, so the United States Will be great again, play dead China. But in fact, in Zhou Xiaoping's view, this is purely nonsense.
The accumulation of manufacturing needs more than money and tax policies. It also needs to be linked to labor costs, environmental regulations, and market structure. In recent years, the Sino-US pattern is undergoing profound changes. Among them, there are many great changes in the great transformation. For example, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates use renminbi to settle oil, such as the opening of Gwadar Port. For example, high-tech industries carry billions of yuan to continuously move out of US investment. Settling in China, the impact of each of these things is 100 million times greater than that of Cao’s going to the United States to open a glass factory. But it is very strange that these things are rarely heated by the media, but a glass factory has become a hot topic.
If the boss of a Chinese glass factory chooses to open a factory in the United States to prove that the US attraction is stronger than China, then I really don’t know that the Airbus production line and the tens of billions of electronic technology high-tech enterprises that have moved from the West have settled in the north. Wide, even in the southwest, these realities can explain the embarrassment.
For example, an engineer named Liu Zihong used to work for IBM in the United States. He and the team invented the world's thinnest and softest OLED screen with a thickness of only 0.01 mm. This screen can be bent at will and can be applied to various mobile intelligences such as mobile phones. Hardware, even on the car glass. Of course, such a good technology must start its own business. Finally, he built the factory in Shenzhen, China, and the first phase of investment exceeded 10 billion yuan.
And the situation like Liu Zihong is just one of the many high-end industries and entrepreneurs who have transferred from China to China. If the real manufacturing spring in the United States comes and China’s manufacturing industry enters a cold winter, then why do you choose not to build the factory in the United States? If you ask them like this, they will look at your eyes more like watching white.
Since the reform and opening up, the Chinese media have always been particularly strange. The topics and the direction of discussion are completely confusing, and even often put the cart before the horse. Before Li Ka-shing transferred assets to the UK, they shouted: "Don't let Li Ka-shing run!" Now a glass factory owner, Cao Moumou, went to the US to open a glass factory. They shouted again: "Don't let Cao Mou run." But in Zhou Xiaoping’s opinion, what can be said about this? When real estate bosses and glass factory owners want to go to the West, and high-tech companies and entrepreneurs want to run to China, think about it with their toes and know which one is happy and which one.
This is equivalent to China's use of developers and glass factories and the United States for Silicon Valley, how to look very cost-effective.
In fact, the current US tax cuts and land preferential policies seem to be attracting manufacturing, but in fact they are only in line with the Fed’s interest rate hike, hoping to attract some physical manufacturing to follow up to the United States while the dollar is returning. To reduce the risk of inflation. But in Zhou Xiaoping's view, the US plan looks beautiful, but the reality is only to think beautifully. Because manufacturing is not only taxes and land, but more importantly, people.
If the tax is small and the land is cheap, you can decide whether the manufacturing industry is strong or not. The most developed country in the world should be Africa or Latin America, and it is impossible to turn to China and the United States. For example, in Kashgar, China, even as the most important core geography of the Belt and Road to Gwadar Port, tax and land policies are very favorable. In the Kashgar Economic Development Zone, the national tax is exempted for 5 years, and the local tax is exempted for 7 years. At the same time, the land is almost white. This policy is much better than the United States? However, due to the lack of people, the project has always been difficult.
Since the United States won the Cold War victory, it has begun to establish "market economic cooperation" in various countries, such as Brazil, Thailand, Japan, Taiwan Province and so on. The main cooperation content is to move some high-pollution and low-profit manufacturing facilities to these countries or regions. On the one hand, people in these countries and regions can make money, on the other hand, they can reduce pollution in the United States and lower prices in the United States.
After the reform and opening up in 1979, China released a huge demographic dividend of 1.3 billion. The Chinese were scared at the time, and the Chinese at that time were extremely eager to make money. So as long as a few hundred wages can allow a worker to work 10 hours a day in the factory, do not need any labor security and social welfare support. Many factories have long queues for recruitment, and countless people are rushing to do a job. This huge demographic dividend immediately attracted all the manufacturing owners in Europe and the United States. They transferred their industries from Brazil, Thailand, Japan and other countries to China to put into production.
Therefore, the essence of the rise of China's manufacturing industry comes from the demographic dividend. At the same time, the essence of China's rise comes from the hard work and intelligence of the Chinese. In the past process of manufacturing transfer in Europe and the United States, no matter which country was transferred to it, it was actually to squeeze cheap labor. After squeezing the clean demographic dividend, it would be transferred to the next country.
However, after the transfer of manufacturing in Europe and the United States to China, an unprecedented situation has occurred. That is, the Chinese are too hard, too hardworking, and too eager to learn, so that after the transfer, China’s demographic dividend has not yet been drained. The technical dividend was reversed by China.
The home appliance production line moved to China. In a few years, China’s own Changhong, Haier and Midea conquered the world. Motorola and Nokia moved to China for a few years. China’s Huawei and ZTE began to sell beyond Samsung and headed for the world. What other glass, steel, and aluminum alloys are more self-evident. Once these manufacturing industries come to China, they will be completely swallowed and digested. From technology to market, they will eventually become Chinese.
Therefore, the Americans found that the situation was not good. If China continues to develop like this, will it be replaced sooner or later? Therefore, the United States began to worry, and launched a series of actions such as raising interest rates and reducing taxes, trying to turn the tide.
But in fact, these actions of the United States are essentially against the law, and the glass factory can not explain this kind of orphan. This is not the first time a Chinese company has tried to set up a factory in the United States. However, from a practical point of view, the population structure problem currently facing the United States is even more serious, and the labor shortage has almost killed all manufacturing industries. In a glass factory, we can see that the oldest technical workers are 70 years old. Young people in the United States are not willing to go to "Foxconn" or the factory. They would rather send a courier, and the gas station will receive a payment, and it will not be able to eat the subsistence allowance. The bitterness in the factory, they can't stand it.
Black Americans and Latin American immigrants in the United States may be able to go to work in factories, but the problem is that the polarization of the United States and the "happy education" and "recommendation letter" policies make the gap between the rich and the poor in the American society greater than the gap between rich and poor. Most black and Latin American immigrant children can only go to the worst public schools and community colleges. It is not a big double-digit addition, subtraction, multiplication and division in high school. Good school resources and strict education models are strictly limited to the rich and elite of the United States. This has led to the inability of ordinary factories to use blacks or Latin American immigrants because their literacy levels are too poor.
There are also many migrant workers in China whose cultural level is not high, but the inherent values ​​and traditions of the Chinese make these workers more willing to work hard, willing to learn, and willing to make their families live a better life through their own efforts. However, the low-education blacks in the United States and the Latin American immigrants are different. They have been instilled with the idea of ​​happy education and happy life from an early age. They have never suffered from their own hardships. They have accumulated three generations and changed their ideas. They have a weak sense of responsibility for families and children. These people prefer Mixed gangs or engaged in marijuana, drug sales, and are not willing to go to work in the factory.
Therefore, these actual situations have led to the so-called manufacturing revitalization plan of the United States, which can only be a bubble. No matter how much tax is reduced, no matter how much land is reduced, the shortage of workers and the high cost of labor are the cancers of the US manufacturing industry.
Therefore, Zhou Xiaoping believes that in the face of the noise of the media, the National People's Congress does not have to worry about people. Although China is far from the United States in military strength, cultural media, and finance, the laws of time and development of things stand on our side. China is going uphill every day, and every day in the United States is going downhill. This trend of change between the United States is not getting smaller, but is growing at a very high speed.
The manufacturing revitalization plan, which was built in the United States, has only attracted a few glass factories. China's industrial upgrading and strategic transformation are ushing in crazy growth.
At present, China is developing rapidly and surpassing Western high-profit and high-tech fields including: industrial robots, 3D printing, aero-engine and large aircraft assembly, satellite + navigation, rail transit, large offshore equipment, new materials (carbon fiber, Gault) Alloys, graphene, nanomaterials, superconductors, etc.), high-tech biomedicine and preparations, smart medical equipment, bio-agricultural technology, bio-manufacturing technology, etc.
For example, by 2020, new energy vehicles will achieve more than 2 million production and sales in the same year. China's new energy vehicles will account for about 70% of the world's total. Such an overwhelming scale advantage will drive the development of the battery market. If you pay attention to the news, it is not difficult to notice that in the past two years, China's battery technology is welcoming a blowout, and what black power technology such as 10 seconds of speed charge, graphene battery, and half a charge is erupting.
In the first half of 2016 alone, 54 power battery technology companies in China issued investment expansion plans with a total investment of over 116 billion.
The same is true in the field of new energy. In 2016, five of the world's top six solar formwork manufacturers were Chinese companies, which basically monopolized the global voice of the industry.
In the computer field, in the third quarter of 2016, the top five global server shipments were: HPE, Dell, Lenovo, Huawei, and Inspur. The sales growth of the latter two companies exceeded 20%, and the market share of Western servers was quickly adopted by China. The company is eating away.
The same is true for the communications market. In 2016, after the weak meat, there were only four communication equipment giants in the world, namely Huawei, Ericsson, Nokia and ZTE. In more than 200 countries around the world, only four companies share the market, and among the four, Chinese manufacturers account for half.
In 2016, China's optical fiber manufacturing production accounted for 60% of the world's total. The three global companies are: Wuhan Changfei, Jiangsu Hengtong and Corning. The pre-fabrication technology that was previously monopolized by the United States has long been mastered and broken by China.
In fact, don't look at Trump and the unscrupulous media singing China every day, thinking that China is going to collapse, the economy is not going well, and the manufacturing industry has to go to the United States, but the reality is exactly the opposite. China went to a glass factory, but American companies almost all ran to China. Not only did the big American companies come, but even Trump himself had to invest. China’s run to the United States is a low-end factory in the industrial chain, and the number is still very small. The United States is running high-end industries, and the number is still high.
Not only European Airbus, in October this year, Boeing also announced that the completion and delivery center will be settled in Zhoushan. The center will be jointly invested by Boeing and China Commercial Aircraft. It plans to deliver 100 737 aircraft a year, with a total investment plan of 6.5 billion yuan. This is Boeing's first overseas factory, breaking the practice of Boeing aircraft staying in the United States from construction to delivery.
Behind the incident of Cao's glass factory, US investment in China increased by 55.4% in 2016, and EU investment in China increased by 43.9%. Among them, British investment in China has doubled year-on-year, and German investment in China has increased by more than 80%. The investment in computer application service industry increased by 123%, the investment in pharmaceutical manufacturing industry increased by 65.3%, and the actual use of foreign investment in high-tech service industry almost doubled.
Behind the doubling of these investments, the real high-end industries are converging in China. For example, Apple invested 1 billion US dollars in investment, Pfizer Biotech Center settled in Hangzhou, Cisco Innovation Center settled in Guangzhou, Intel invested 7.1 billion US dollars in Dalian and Chengdu, and Siemens invested 1 billion in Chengdu to complete digital chemical industry, and said that in the future Five years of investment in China accounted for more than two-thirds of total Asian investment...
Even with his mouth full of anger at China, he puts on a network of big Trump, who will sneak up on China tomorrow. He is also looking at China and applying for more than 1,000 trademarks in China. He also plans to invest tens of billions of dollars. It is necessary to open more than ten super five-star hotel chains in China.
If China’s future economy is very bad, China will collapse, China will not be able to support it. The Chinese economy is a bubble that Cao Moumou said, and it will not work immediately. So, are these top foreign companies crazy? Are the world's top richest people stupid? Will they be stupid enough to madly throw money and industry into a country that is going to be shattered? of course not.
In comparison, I am more willing to believe the actual judgment of Boeing, Airbus, Cisco, Huawei, ZTE, Apple, Pfizer, and Trump consortium on China's future economic development. I don't want to believe in the judgment of some big network V, urban life small media and ordinary glass factory owners.
Therefore, Zhou Xiaoping believes that in fact today's manufacturing transfer between China and the United States is not that China's manufacturing strength is returning to the United States, but that the manufacturing power of the United States continues to shift to China, and that Americans can't change this history without breaking their feet. Process and trend patterns.
Looking at the big drama of this scene, I recalled the time when we pitifully asked foreigners to give a chemical factory technicians, recalling the days when we didn’t even have a flashlight, recalling those who were The sadness of the ancestors who struggled and risked their lives for the sake of China’s industrial base could not help but feel a lot.
If the Chinese industrial pioneers are present, they will be shocked by the world.
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