Opportunities and Challenges for China's Photovoltaic Industry Development

The rapid development of the photovoltaic industry In 2010, China's production capacity of battery modules reached 21GW, and the output reached 8.7GW, accounting for approximately 50% of the world's total output.

In 2010, benefiting from the PV subsidy policy and the decline in the prices of battery modules in Germany, Italy and other European countries, the photovoltaic market was unprecedentedly developed in 2010. The annual PV installed capacity exceeded 17GW, an increase of 133% year-on-year.

Driven by the global photovoltaic market, China's photovoltaic industry has also been substantially developed. In 2010, China's production capacity of battery modules reached 21GW, and the output of battery modules reached 8.7GW, accounting for approximately 50% of the world's total output (four consecutive years since 2007. Ranked first in the world, the annual export volume also reached 20.2 billion US dollars, an increase of 132.1%. China's polysilicon production capacity also rose, reaching 85,000 tons, and production reached 45,000 tons, an increase of 100%, but there are still more than half of the gap. According to customs statistics, in 2010, the national polysilicon import volume reached 4,750 tons, and the import amount was 2.67 billion U.S. dollars, a year-on-year increase of 57.1%.

Compared with the rapid development of the photovoltaic industry, China's photovoltaic installation market is slightly inferior. In 2010, the installed capacity of photovoltaics was only 520 MW, which only accounted for 6% of China's battery production.

The development of photovoltaic industry is of great significance China's photovoltaic industry has already played a decisive role in the international arena. This is a contribution of the photovoltaic industry to China's manufacturing industry.

The rapid development of the photovoltaic industry has increased the international status of China's manufacturing industry. In just a few years, China’s photovoltaic industry has grown rapidly. By 2010, there were 16 PV companies listed overseas; in the top 10 global PV cell/module productions, China accounted for 4; in the top 10 global polysilicon production, China also accounted for 4 homes. In addition, with the accelerating pace of internationalization, several companies have established factories in the United States and Canada one after another, and high-quality and low-cost photovoltaic products have made great contributions to the rapid development of the global photovoltaic industry. China's photovoltaic industry has already played a decisive role in the international arena. This is a contribution of the photovoltaic industry to China's manufacturing industry. It has given the world a chance to reconsider China's manufacturing industry.

The rapid development of the photovoltaic industry meets the general trend of development at home and abroad, and it also meets the overall development direction of the country. The country is energetically transforming the economic development mode. To change the mode of economic development, structural adjustments must be made. Structural adjustments must first adjust the energy institutions. Photovoltaic power generation, as a renewable and green energy source, will play an important role in future energy sources. . The introduction of the "Renewable Energy Law" has enabled the strategic status of new energy to be elevated to the national level. In 2010, the State Council also listed the photovoltaic industry as a strategic emerging industry that will be supported in the future. The development of the photovoltaic industry has played an important role in optimizing the national energy structure and promoting energy conservation and emission reduction. It has also played a very good role in fulfilling China’s commitment to the international community.

The development of the photovoltaic industry has obvious social driving effects and the radiation effect is extremely obvious. The rapid development of the photovoltaic industry has provided a golden opportunity and a real market space for the development of semiconductor equipment. It not only promotes the improvement of the domestic equipment technology level, but also contributes to the circulation and accumulation of the company’s funds, and has created for the equipment manufacturers. R&D, reinvestment, and redevelopment will allow it to enter a virtuous cycle of development. At the same time, the development of solar grade polysilicon has also created a relatively good industrial development foundation for the development of electronic grade polysilicon materials required for semiconductor discrete devices and integrated circuits.

The international competitiveness of the photovoltaic industry in the Chinese mainland is steadily increasing. The photovoltaic industry has become one of the few industries that can simultaneously participate in international competition and maintain the international advanced level.

Photovoltaic industry is facing challenges In terms of the development of new technologies and the innovation of new structures, China still lags behind foreign advanced countries.

The industry needs to be standardized and integrated. The hot PV market in 2010 and the high rate of return on investment have caused all parties’ capital to continue to flow into the photovoltaic industry. Among them are some projects with certain blindness, and the market order has encountered unprecedented pressure. In terms of positive significance, the continued investment in capital is indisputable for further promoting the development of the photovoltaic industry. However, some investors who have not conducted in-depth analysis and research on the development factors such as technology, resources, talents, market, and the advantages and disadvantages of competition have continued to expand their production capacity. They are certainly not in line with the scientific concept of development and should be cautious. Blind start-ups or projects that increase production capacity may be a detriment to the development of the industry. The development of the industry will also follow such a pattern. In the initial stage of industrial development, there will be some excess development, followed by integration. With the development of new technologies and new markets, there may be a small surplus, and then It is reintegration. In this process, the government needs to be well-directed in order to minimize the pain.

Industrial chain development is not balanced. The situation of “two on the outside” still needs to be changed. Last year, China produced 45,000 tons of polysilicon, but it still needs to import 47,500 tons. This situation is expected to continue this year. Although significant progress has been made in the fields of domestic special equipment and special materials, some key equipment and key materials still rely on imports. The most important thing is that in the downstream applications, China's module output accounts for 40% to 50% of the world's total, while the installed capacity only accounts for 2.7% of the world's total. The domestic photovoltaic market needs to be accelerated.

PV trade frictions have intensified. Now all countries in the world have realized the importance of new energy, and they generally believe that countries that can lead the new energy economy in the future will also lead the development of the world economy. Therefore, while strengthening the economic status of new energy, they will inevitably improve their protection. The alertness of the new energy industry including the photovoltaic industry. The international dependence of the photovoltaic market in China is relatively high, and this status is difficult to fundamentally change in the short term, which is bound to be challenged by the trade of some countries. For example, in 2009, the German Photovoltaic Industry Association reported that it had lobbied for EU anti-dumping investigations on photovoltaic products from China. In 2010, the U.S. as a photovoltaic market with huge potential has directly launched new projects for China, including photovoltaic industry. "301" survey in the energy field. In addition, China's solar cell production is very large, but it does not hold the pricing power. In March this year, there was a case where the product was required to have a price reduction of 30%, which caused a large amount of photovoltaic products to stagnate at the port. With the increase of trade exchanges and the escalation of international competition, international trade disputes concerning the photovoltaic industry will intensify, and the industry must actively respond.

Industrial technology is facing crisis. After several years of development, China's photovoltaic industry has made great breakthroughs in technology. However, in the development of some new technologies, the innovation of new structures, and even basic research and development of some new types of batteries, China still lags behind foreign advanced countries. Although the scale of the photovoltaic industry has been large, but in basic technology, cutting-edge technology and other aspects of research, still need to increase investment to prevent the phenomenon of falling behind after the emergence of revolutionary new technologies, avoid the mistakes of the display device industry. Take China's color tube as an example. At that time, China was the world's largest producer of color tubes, thus promoting our country to become the world's largest color TV producer, but in the process of color TVs transitioning from CRT to flat panel display devices, our country lacked technical reserves. As a result, in the short time, the domestic market share of domestic brand TVs once fell from more than 80% to less than 30%. This profound lesson deserves our deep thinking.

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